environmental

A Twenty-First Century Structural Change in Antarctica’s Sea Ice System

From 1979 to 2016, total Antarctic sea ice extent experienced a positive trend with record winter maxima in 2012 and 2014. Record summer minima followed within the period 2017-2024, raising the possibility that the Antarctic sea ice system might be …

A Twenty-First Century Structural Change in Antarctica’s Sea Ice System: Data and Code Repository

This repository contains the R source code and derived data products to reproduce analyses in the paper: ['A Twenty-First Century Structural Change in Antarctica’s Sea ice System'](https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02107-5) by Marilyn N. Raphael, …

A Bayesian Model for 20th Century Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Reconstruction

Antarctic sea ice, a key component in the complex Antarctic climate system, is an important driver and indicator of the global climate. In the relatively short satellite-observed period from 1979 to 2022 the sea ice extent has continuously increased …

20th Century Antarctic sea ice extent anomaly reconstruction by sector

This repository contains the resonstructions of the monthly Antarctic sea ice extent anomaly in total and by sector ('Total', 'King Haakon VII', 'Ross Sea', 'East Antarctica', 'Weddell Sea', 'Bellingshausen Amundsen Sea') for the 20th Century. We …

A New Record Minimum for Antarctic Sea Ice

Antarctic sea ice extent reached a new record low of 1.965 million km2 on 23 February 2022. This extent is approximately 32% below climatological values and might indicate a transition to new, more extreme, annual fluctuations.

A Regime Shift in Seasonal Total Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the Twentieth Century

In stark contrast to the Arctic, there have been statistically significant positive trends in total Antarctic sea ice extent since 1979. However, the short and highly variable nature of observed Antarctic sea ice extent limits the ability to fully …

Eighteen-year record of circum-Antarctic landfast-sea-ice distribution allows detailed baseline characterisation and reveals trends and variability

Landfast sea ice (fast ice) is an important though poorly understood component of the cryosphere on the Antarctic continental shelf, where it plays a key role in atmosphere–ocean–ice-sheet interaction and coupled ecological and biogeochemical …

An Assessment of the Temporal Variability in the Annual Cycle of Daily Antarctic Sea Ice in the NCAR Community Earth System Model, Version 2: A Comparison of the Historical Runs with Observations

Understanding the variability of Antarctic sea ice is an ongoing challenge given the limitations of observed data. Coupled climate model simulations present the opportunity to examine this variability in Antarctic sea ice. Here, the daily sea ice …

Modeling the annual cycle of daily Antarctic sea ice extent

The total Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE) experiences a distinct annual cycle, peaking in September and reaching its minimum in February. In this paper we propose a mathematical and statistical decomposition of this temporal variation in SIE. Each …

Modeling wildfire ignition origins in southern California using linear network point processes

This paper focuses on spatial and temporal modeling of point processes on linear networks. Point processes on linear networks can simply be defined as point events occurring on or near line segment network structures embedded in a certain space. A …